III.8. Trading with leverage. Margin trading.

One of the popular strategies is trading with leverage or margin trading (margin from the English “margin” – profit).

Let’s say your trading capital is 100,000 rubles. Your goal is to earn at least 1% or more from each transaction daily. That is, from each transaction you can expect to receive a profit of 1000 rubles per day or more. Not bad.

Let’s also assume that your goal is to accumulate 200,000 rubles in this way. Let’s calculate how long it will take to do this in trading days, provided that you put all the money you earn into use (see Table 1 below). As you can see, it will take 71 trading days or about 3.25 months of trading on the MICEX.

Table 1.

Trading DayCurrent account sizeIncome per dayProfit per day
11000001%1000
21010001%1010
31020101%1020,1
4103030,11%1030,301
5104060,4011%1040,604
6105101,0051%1051,01
7106152,01511%1061,52
8107213,53521%1072,135
9108285,67061%1082,857
10109368,52731%1093,685
11110462,21251%1104,622
12111566,83471%1115,668
13112682,5031%1126,825
14113809,3281%1138,093
15114947,42131%1149,474
16116096,89551%1160,969
17117257,86451%1172,579
18118430,44311%1184,304
19119614,74761%1196,147
20120810,8951%1208,109
21122019,0041%1220,19
22123239,1941%1232,392
23124471,5861%1244,716
24125716,30181%1257,163
25126973,46491%1269,735
26128243,19951%1282,432
27129525,63151%1295,256
28130820,88781%1308,209
29132129,09671%1321,291
30133450,38771%1334,504
31134784,89151%1347,849
32136132,74041%1361,327
33137494,06791%1374,941
34138869,00851%1388,69
35140257,69861%1402,577
36141660,27561%1416,603
37143076,87841%1430,769
38144507,64711%1445,076
39145952,72361%1459,527
40147412,25091%1474,123
41148886,37341%1488,864
42150375,23711%1503,752
43151878,98951%1518,79
44153397,77941%1533,978
45154931,75721%1549,318
46156481,07471%1564,811
47158045,88551%1580,459
48159626,34431%1596,263
49161222,60781%1612,226
50162834,83381%1628,348
51164463,18221%1644,632
52166107,8141%1661,078
53167768,89211%1677,689
54169446,58111%1694,466
55171141,04691%1711,41
56172852,45731%1728,525
57174580,98191%1745,81
58176326,79171%1763,268
59178090,05971%1780,901
60179870,96031%1798,71
61181669,66991%1816,697
62183486,36661%1834,864
63185321,23021%1853,212
64187174,44251%1871,744
65189046,18691%1890,462
66190936,64881%1909,366
67192846,01531%1928,46
68194774,47551%1947,745
69196722,22021%1967,222
70198689,44241%1986,894
71200676,33681%2006,763

Now let’s assume that you would like to get your 200,000 faster and decide to take a leverage of 3x, which is equivalent to 100,000 x 3 = 300,000 rubles. The goal is the same – 200,000 rubles. That is, with a trading account size of 400,000 rubles, you get the target amount. We make the calculation in Table 2.

Table 2.

Trading DayCurrent account sizeIncome per dayProfit per day
13000001%3000
23030001%3030
33060301%3060,3
4309090,31%3090,903
5312181,2031%3121,812
6315303,0151%3153,03
7318456,04521%3184,56
8321640,60561%3216,406
9324857,01171%3248,57
10328105,58181%3281,056
11331386,63761%3313,866
12334700,5041%3347,005
13338047,5091%3380,475
14341427,98411%3414,28
15344842,2641%3448,423
16348290,68661%3482,907
17351773,59351%3517,736
18355291,32941%3552,913
19358844,24271%3588,442
20362432,68511%3624,327
21366057,0121%3660,57
22369717,58211%3697,176
23373414,75791%3734,148
24377148,90551%3771,489
25380920,39461%3809,204
26384729,59851%3847,296
27388576,89451%3885,769
28392462,66341%3924,627
29396387,29011%3963,873
30400351,1631%4003,512

Magic has happened – you will need only 30 trading days, i.e. only 1.5 months. Yes, of course, do not forget about the tax, the commission for leverage. But these are details. The main principle.

Sounds very tempting, doesn’t it?

This is in theory. In practice, there are always a lot of nuances that do not allow you to do this. That’s what the exchange is for. If everyone only got rich, then the exchange would have gone bankrupt long ago.

You need to understand that you have 100,000 rubles in case of regular losses, for example, for 3 days in a row, using a stop-loss order of 1%, you lose 3,000 rubles and reduce your account to 97,000 rubles. If the amount is 300,000 rubles, taking into account the leverage of 3x, then 3 days of losses by 1% will reduce your account by 9,000 rubles and actually your funds will remain 91,000 rubles, i.e. You lose 9% in 3 days! Bad, right? That’s business.

In this simple typical situation, we have shown just the very thing that will make you fight with yourself, with your conscience. After all, you have only 100,000 rubles of your money, and you borrow 200,000 rubles. It should be understood that in this case there is no broker’s risk – the risk is entirely yours – only you lose money. When a certain amount is reached on your account, the broker will simply stop this fun by selling all your assets and taking all his money and commission. The balance, if there is one (the BINANCE exchange simply liquidates your account, leaving 0 rubles), will remain on the account.

And imagine that you decided to take a risk – a Porsche or a walrus – and took a 10x shoulder! I.e. now you have 1,000,000 rubles at your disposal. Then, with 3 days of losses of 1%, you already lose 30,000 rubles, i.e. 30% of the account. Are you ready for this? This should be found out in front of the mirror before the start of trading.

If there is uncertainty, do not start playing games with your conscience, they will begin as soon as you realize the horror of the situation, and you will limply freeze in panic in front of the monitor, watching as someone brazenly devours your dream before your eyes. After all, we don’t know if you are using a stop loss or not. The drawdown can be so rapid that you can get a loss of 7% in 1 day and 10%! I.e. if you have a leverage of 10x at 10% loss, you lose all your money. If you have a clear plan and firm confidence, you have calculated everything – good luck.

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